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At mid-January 2026, the US DAP market was being affected by sustained bearish sentiment due to weak buying interest and an increase in structural demand shift. Added to this was the ongoing downward trend caused by increasing use of precision Agriculture and Variable-Rate Application Technology, which is steadily reducing the amount used per acre. Furthermore, there are temporary shortages of NPKS Blends and the competitive pricing of these blends has led to many users substituting away from using DAP. Substitution has decreased demand in the market, although there is a small amount of support from Urban Turf Demand in certain regions of the Southeast and increased grain export programs. However, the combined effects of decreased efficiency and Blend Switching have left a firmly negative short-term outlook for DAP in the US market.
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