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Methanol prices surged across India, China, and Germany during the week of July 17, 2026, driven by three distinct but converging shocks. In India, the expiry of the customs duty exemption on 40 critical petrochemicals as of July 15 reinstated a 7.5% import duty, sharply elevating landed costs. In China, the July 9 re-escalation of US-Iran tensions caused Strait of Hormuz shipping volumes to plummet, reigniting Iranian supply disruption fears and driving a futures-led price surge despite weak downstream demand. In Germany, BASF's Force Majeure declaration at Ludwigshafen and a sharp 13.13% weekly spike in natural gas costs simultaneously tightened regional supply and elevated steam-reforming production expenses, pushing Hamburg FD prices firmly higher.
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