For the Quarter Ending September 2024
North America
The third quarter of 2024 for Methyl Isobutyl Ketone (MIBK) in North America was characterized by a notable uptrend in prices, reflecting a substantial increase from the same period last year. This surge was primarily influenced by robust demand from various sectors like coatings, adhesives, and chemical manufacturing.
The market saw a 22% increase from the previous quarter, driven by consistent demand and supply dynamics. In the USA, which experienced the most significant price changes, the price of MIBK showed a 19% increase between the first and second half of the quarter. This upward trajectory was fuelled by strong demand from downstream industries, despite challenges in the broader economic landscape.
The latest quarter-ending price of USD 2510/MT FOB Texas in the USA signifies a stable and positive pricing environment, with market conditions supporting the price hike. Overall, the MIBK pricing trend in North America during Q3 2024 has been characterized by a bullish sentiment, driven by sustained demand and supply dynamics.
Asia-Pacific
The third quarter of 2024 has been a challenging period for Methyl Isobutyl Ketone (MIBK) pricing in the APAC region, characterized by a consistent downward trend in market prices. Several significant factors have contributed to this decline. Weak demand from key industries such as paints, coatings, and adhesives, coupled with falling Acetone prices globally, has exerted pressure on MIBK prices. The sluggish offtake in downstream sectors has led to manufacturers adjusting output levels, further impacting pricing. Additionally, the broader downward trend in Acetone prices has added to the bearish sentiment in the market.
China, experiencing the most significant price changes, has seen a substantial decrease in MIBK prices. The quarter recorded a substantial decline from the same period last year, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics. Compared to the previous quarter in 2024, the price change stood at decline of 14%, reflecting the ongoing negative trend. The second half of the quarter witnessed a notable decrease compared to the first half, highlighting the continued downward trajectory. The quarter-ending price of USD 1540/MT FOB Qingdao in China reaffirms the prevailing negative sentiment in the MIBK pricing environment.
Europe
In the third quarter of 2024, the European Methyl Isobutyl Ketone (MIBK) market experienced several notable trends. Weak purchasing sentiment and a declining demand outlook led to a drop in MIBK prices. The feedstock market for Acetone also saw a downturn, further affecting purchasing activity. MIBK, a medium-evaporating solvent, is essential in high solids coatings, particularly in the automotive sector, where it is used to manufacture protective paints and coatings for exterior vehicle parts.
Due to the decline in PMI form past 3 months, the European market is facing danger or recession. Though, the market participants trying to improve the market for MIBK and is more interested in wait and see approach which might stabilize the market for the coming months.
These coatings are vital for shielding against UV radiation, acid rain, and other environmental factors. Despite these challenges, the MIBK market is expected to exhibit growth. Overall, the European MIBK market dealt with price fluctuations while maintaining its significance in automotive coatings during Q3 2024.
For the Quarter Ending June 2024
North America
In Q2 2024, the Methyl Isobutyl Ketone (MIBK) market in North America experienced a notable upsurge in prices, propelled by several critical factors that amplified market volatility. The primary drivers included increased spot purchasing, heightened upstream Acetone costs, and robust demand from downstream paint and coating industries. The market saw constrained supply chains exacerbated by geopolitical tensions and logistical challenges, including elevated ocean freight rates and port congestion. These dynamics collectively fostered a bullish pricing environment, with traders elevating their offers in response to tight supplies and escalating production costs.
Focusing on the USA, the region witnessed the most pronounced price changes. The overall trend in MIBK pricing throughout the quarter was marked by consistent increases, reflecting strong market fundamentals. Seasonality played a significant role, with demand spikes aligning with peak production periods in downstream industries. The correlation between rising feedstock prices and MIBK was evident, further driving the upward price trajectory. Compared to the same quarter last year, MIBK prices surged by 12%, while the quarter-over-quarter increase stood at a substantial 23%, underscoring the intensified demand and constrained supply.
Examining price dynamics within the quarter, the first half saw a 12% lower price than the latter, indicating progressive tightening of supply and escalating costs. Concluding the quarter, MIBK prices in the USA stabilized at USD 2000/MT FOB Texas, reflecting the overall positive pricing environment driven by robust demand and supply chain constraints. This quarter's performance underscores a resilient, albeit pressured, market landscape for MIBK, characterized by a consistent bullish sentiment.
APAC
During Q2 2024, Methyl Isobutyl Ketone (MIBK) pricing in the APAC region experienced a pronounced decline, driven by multiple market dynamics. Key factors influencing this downward trajectory included sluggish demand from downstream sectors such as paints, coatings, and adhesives, exacerbated by supply chain disruptions and elevated production costs. The overall sentiment in the MIBK market remained negative as persistent supply gluts and subdued purchasing activity further pressured prices. High inventories and logistical bottlenecks compounded the issue, with suppliers finding it challenging to clear stockpiles, leading to aggressive price cuts. China, in particular, witnessed significant price changes during this quarter. The MIBK market in China was marked by a consistent downward trend due to oversupply and weak market fundamentals. Seasonally, the demand for MIBK remained low, further contributing to the bearish market mood. Compared to the same quarter last year, prices dropped by 14%, indicating a significant year-over-year decline. From the previous quarter in 2024, prices fell by 3%, reflecting a steady decrease throughout the year. The price comparison between the first and second half of the quarter showed a marginal decline of 1%, underscoring the persistence of negative market forces. The quarter concluded with MIBK prices at USD 2110/MT FOB Qingdao, highlighting the sustained pressure on the market. The overall pricing environment has been notably negative, driven by lacklustre demand, abundant supply, and ongoing economic challenges. The consistent decrease in prices throughout Q2 2024 underscores the need for strategic adjustments by industry players to navigate this challenging period effectively.
Europe
The European MIBK market witnessed the following dynamics. A weak purchasing sentiment and deteriorating demand outlook contributed to a downward trend in MIBK prices. The market for feedstock Acetone also experienced a slump, impacting purchasing activity. MIBK is a medium evaporating solvent used in high solids coatings. In the automotive sector, it plays a crucial role in manufacturing protective paints and coatings for exterior vehicle parts. These coatings shield against UV radiation, acid rain, and other environmental effects.Despite challenges, the MIBK market is projected to grow. In summary, the European MIBK market faced pricing fluctuations, while its application in automotive coatings remained significant during Q2 2024.
For the Quarter Ending March 2024
North America
In Q1 2024, the North American market for Methyl Isobutyl Ketone (MIBK) witnessed a significant decrease in prices when compared with the previous quarter. Several factors contributed to weak market trend. Firstly, there was a decline in overall demand for MIBK from downstream industries, particularly in the paint and coating sector.
Nevertheless, there was gradual growth in the price trend for MIBK but was not adequate to surpass the previous hike achieved during the last quarter. This weak demand resulted in a decrease in market prices. Additionally, the MIBK market was influenced by global factors such as the drop in Acetone prices, which further contributed to the decline in MIBK prices.
Within the North American market, the USA experienced the maximum price changes. The overall trend for MIBK prices in the USA was negative, with prices decreased throughout the quarter. The price change from the same quarter last year was -19%, reflecting a significant drop in prices compared to the previous year. The quarter-on-quarter change in prices for Q1 2024 was -2%, indicating a slight decrease in prices compared to the previous quarter. Furthermore, there was a notable price difference between the first and second half of the quarter, with prices decreasing by 11%. In March 2024, the price of MIBK in the USA was USD 1523/MT FOB Texas. This price reflects the overall negative sentiment in the pricing environment for MIBK in the USA during Q1 2024.
APAC
The first quarter of 2024 has been challenging for the Methyl Isobutyl Ketone (MIBK) market in the APAC region, with prices experiencing a significant decrease. Several factors have influenced market prices during this period. One of the key factors is the overall decrease in demand from downstream industries, especially the solvent industry, which has led to a decline in trading activities and weak market fundamentals. Additionally, high product inventories and limited market purchases have contributed to the downward trend in prices. China, in particular, has seen the maximum price changes in the MIBK market. The prices have been on a downward trajectory throughout the quarter, reflecting the sluggish demand and weak market fundamentals in the region. Compared to the same quarter last year, prices have decreased by 7%, indicating a negative trend in the market. Moreover, the prices have also declined by 11% from the previous quarter in 2024, further highlighting the decreasing sentiment. During March 2024, the price for MIBK in China stands at USD 2029/MT FOB-Qingdao. Overall, the pricing environment for MIBK in the APAC region during the first quarter of 2024 has been negative, with prices experiencing a consistent decrease. Weak demand, high inventories, and limited market purchases have contributed to the downward trend in prices, creating a challenging market situation for suppliers and traders.
Europe
In the first quarter of 2024, the European market for Methyl Iso-Butyl Ketone (MIBK) witnessed a sluggish trend, characterized by subdued pricing dynamics. This sluggishness was primarily driven by a notable decline in demand from downstream industries, particularly within the adhesive and coating sectors. As a result of this lackluster demand, suppliers found themselves grappling with subdued bidding activities, further contributing to the weakened pricing environment. Despite efforts to stimulate purchasing activities through incentives such as discounts on market purchases, the overall sentiment remained subdued. Additionally, although there was an uptick in the feedstock Acetone market during this period, it failed to translate into significant shifts in MIBK market sentiment. Consequently, suppliers opted to reduce their offers in response to the prevailing market conditions, as increased purchasing failed to materialize. Overall, the first quarter of 2024 saw the European MIBK market facing challenges stemming from sluggish demand and weakened pricing dynamics, highlighting the need for adaptive strategies to navigate such market conditions.
For the Quarter Ending December 2023
North America
In Q4 2023, plunging demand fundamentals from the downstream enterprises and continuous decline in the market trades from the North American to the overseas market resulted in low market purchases for the fresh stocks. In Dec 2023, the price of MIBK in the USA declined to USD 1362/ton FOB Texas. Flat feedstock Ketone values and declining production cost among the enterprises resulted in feeble price trend.
Impacted demand fundamentals continue to weigh on MIBK markets, as do proceeded with regional economic concerns, which remain uncertain. Purchasers remain hesitant to make enormous buys, and the overall slack demand furnishes buyers with leverage to push for lower costs.
Additionally, the drop in spot levels comes as producers stay constrained to clear out stocks as storage costs rise. Weak demand and deterrent market factors affected the downstream paint and coating sector's utilization of MIBK. Due to adequate supplies in the area, the MIBK sector remained constant in the US, but manufacturers are still hesitant to raise prices much further.
Asia Pacific
In Q4 2023, the price trend of MIBK in the Asia Pacific region witnessed a sluggish market trend in the wake of slow market offtakes and deteriorating demand for fresh stocks from the suppliers to buyers. In China, MIBK's prospects are bleak, and manufacturing companies are re modelling their facilities to accommodate lower bids, which has led to a decline in price. Because of the region's ample inventories and plentiful supply, the producer was forced to lower the price of MIBK. In an attempt to discourage hoarding, several manufacturing companies often reduce their ex-factory estimates when it comes to cost help. In China, the price of MIBK declined to USD 1882/ton FOB Qingdao. From a demand standpoint, modest orders were the main reason for downtrend of MIBK. The downstream antioxidant industry's operating rate decreased when the market moved into the off-season. Slow market offtakes have contributed to the market's more pessimistic outlook. Big businesses operate under specific contracts and cautiously entered the market, which has led to a lack of constructive support for the industrial chain.
Europe
Methyl Isobutyl Ketone (MIBK) pricing in the European region during Q4 2023 witnessed bearish market sentiments due to weak demand and ample supply. The market remained sluggish throughout the quarter, and no substantial disruptions were observed in the supply/demand fundamentals, which led to low trading volumes. The European MIBK market witnessed a supply overhang resulting from suppressed demand in the region, coupled with limited cost support from the upstream isobutylene market. The MIBK market was affected by high inventories and bearish demand from end-user industries along with the slow market offtakes. The quarter witnessed no plant shutdowns. The trading market of Germany for MIBK market remain thin with lower bidding for the fresh stock. Germany has seen low offers this quarter because of demand disruption and weak Purchasing activities from the downstream industries. India to China trading gap further widened as market trade activities remain thin. The demand of MIBK in Europe from downstream Automobile industry remains deterred due to stockpiling of product among the manufacturing units.
