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US propylene prices are expected to weaken further into June 2026, driven by persistent oversupply, elevated inventories, and soft derivative demand. Strong refinery throughput and improved NGL recovery continue to swell merchant availability, while packaging, automotive, construction, and consumer goods demand remain subdued. Export pull into Latin America and Asia is weak, and hurricane season caution is limiting restocking. Crude oil is expected to remain range bound, offering only marginal cost support. May’s trend already reflected this weakness. Polymer grade values collapsed by 11.3% drop by May 31 as sellers chased liquidity amid rising inventories. Maintenance related tightness eased, logistics improved, and derivative demand remained muted. With no strong demand catalyst in sight, June pricing is expected to remain under pressure unless unexpected outages or a sudden export rebound emerge.
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